Economic Archive

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  VAR - Models of Shocks in the Business Cycles of Final Consumption Expenditure of Households

  Abstract: The article has experimented with a methodology for using vector autoregressive models (VAR) to study the impact of shocks in the business climate and economic activity on the business cycles of final con-sumption expenditure of households. It refers to six countries in Central and Eastern Europe (Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, ... Abstract: The article has experimented with a methodology for using vector autoregressive models (VAR) to study the impact of shocks in the business climate and economic activity on the business cycles of final con-sumption expenditure of households. It refers to six countries in Central and Eastern Europe (Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Slovakia) for the period 2000 to 2015. The results show that the expectations for the financial situation of households over the next 12 months and the level of employment have a stimulating effect on the business cycle of final consumption expenditure of households. The expectations for unemployment, inflation and savings over the next 12 months have a negative impact on the business cycles.

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  A New Yuan or a New Monetary System

  The research area of the present study is the Chinese yuan (renminbi). The research subject is the evolution of the Chinese yuan from a national to a global reserve currency. The paper tests the proposition that the rise of the Chinese currency is a sign of deep and qualitative changes in the international monetary system. The aim of the study is ... The research area of the present study is the Chinese yuan (renminbi). The research subject is the evolution of the Chinese yuan from a national to a global reserve currency. The paper tests the proposition that the rise of the Chinese currency is a sign of deep and qualitative changes in the international monetary system. The aim of the study is to analyse and track the evolution in the current situation in the international monetary system, in order to highlight the factors and the reasons for the rise of the Chinese yuan and to find indications of the direction of the future development of the system as a whole.

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  Virtuality of Fictitious Capital in Modern Conditions

  The article discusses "financialization" – the process of transformation of financial capital into fictitious and virtual capital and its separation from the real manufacturing sector. It shows a tremendous growth in the financial sector in the last decades of the 20th century and the beginning of the new century and growing segmentation of ... The article discusses "financialization" – the process of transformation of financial capital into fictitious and virtual capital and its separation from the real manufacturing sector. It shows a tremendous growth in the financial sector in the last decades of the 20th century and the beginning of the new century and growing segmentation of financial instruments due to financial innovations, aimed, among other things, at evading government regulations, which increase their influence on the trends in the real and financial sector, leading to the creation of conditions for the emergence of financial crises and financial "bubbles". We study the market of derivative securities, its dynamics and impact on the economy of Ukraine.