FUTURE EURO AREA MEMBERSHIP OF BULGARIA IN TERMS OF THE BUSINESS CYCLE

Authors

Keywords
Bulgaria, membership, euro area, business cycles, synchronization.

In the present paper, vector autoregression (VAR) is used to assess the extent to which Bulgaria’s economic cycle is synchronized with the one of the euro area (EA). The main fiscal and monetary factors affecting the coordination of the business cycles of Bulgaria and the EA are identified. Recommendations for macroeconomic policies are formulated to support the synchronization of Bulgaria’s economic cycle with the one of the EA and to prepare our country for the adoption of the euro.

JEL: E32, E42, E50
Pages: 12
Price: 2 Points

More titles

  • INNOVATIVE METHODS TO MEASURE THE MARKET RISK OF THE FOREX MARKET

    The impact of market risk on the performance of economic agents is significant. The focus of this study is on the various models and techniques to quantify the market risk of the FOREX market. The results from the empirical testing of Monte Carlo simulation models, VaR, CVaR, MVaR, VaR historical simulation, and Delta Normal VaR indicate the ...

  • THE IMPACT OF COMMERCIAL BANKS ON CONVERGENCE IN THE EUROPEAN UNION

    The paper traces the impact of the international, systematically important banks on the state and phenomena observed in the European Union. It comes to the conclusion that international commercial banks further strengthen the convergence in the banking systems of the member states. In the process of disclosure of these relationships, the ...

  • CORRUPTION IN BUSINESS - PROS AND CONS

    Corruption has been a subject to social construction and reconstruction for a long time. The social dimension of corruption means that this is a phenomenon whose meaning, positive or negative values are determined by people. Corruption changes, since it was already a subject to changes in the past. Therefore, if we currently believe that negative ...