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Velichka Nikolova
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY OF EU MEMBER STATES: A CLUSTER ANALYSIS
Summary:
The aim of this article is to perform a cluster analysis of the EU member states in terms of their public debt sustainability. To this end, the existing theoretical constructs related to the concept of debt sustainability were reviewed in to determine the advantages and disadvantages of certain indicators for assessing debt sustainability. In the course of the research, the methodological grounds of the analysis were defined and the countries were grouped into four clusters.
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Velichka Nikolova
EFFECTS OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS AND THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC ON SOVEREIGN DEBT MANAGEMENT IN HEAVILY INDEBTED COUNTRIES
Summary:
This article presents an analysis of the sovereign debt in some heavily indebted countries worldwide, including Venezuela, Sudan, Japan and Greece. Its main objective is to track and compare the initial effects of the global financial and economic crisis (2008) and the COVID-19 pandemic on sovereign debt levels in those countries. This is why it starts with a classification of the theoretical concepts addressing the relationship between economic crises and changes in the levels of sovereign debt. It then defines the main drivers for the sharp increase of the sovereign debt in these countries and describes the dynamics of the revenues, expenditures and balances of their budgets.
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Dimcho Ivelinov Shopov
ANALYSING AND FORECASTING THE DEBT BURDEN OF THE EU COUNTRIES: IS THERE A NEW EUROPEAN DEBT CRISIS ON THE HORIZON?
Summary:
The debt crisis which afflicted Europe highlights the weaknesses and instability of the EU member states' financial systems, as well as the inability of their national economies to maintain normal levels of indebtedness. The deteriorating economic environment requires changes in the fiscal policies across Europe. These changes are effected using new financial instruments to raise the necessary funds for implementation of economic reforms in the EU member states. The aim of this study is to analyse the current levels of sovereign debt across the European Union and to forecast their development in the future using specialized econometric software. The results may be used to identify possible future economic shocks in Europe.
